In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.If we combine the A50 index with the trend of Hong Kong stocks, Hong Kong stocks have hit a new low, and the downward trend is more obvious. From these two indexes, there is no sign of starting a second upswing. If it were not for the support, A shares and these two sisters would have fallen sharply at the same time.First, at present, there is no sign that A shares will start the second wave of market, and the conditions are not available.
At present, A-shares have basically returned to the situation in April and May after the Spring Festival, and the main force is trying to pull up and hit a new high from time to time, mainly to stabilize the confidence of shareholders.Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.Today, the three sisters of A-shares jointly pull up A-shares again, which is a ship pulled for the expectation of RMB depreciation. Because it is a shrinkage increase, especially A50, the shrinkage increase after the heavy volume drop is reflected in A-shares, that is, pulling up the external market with a small amount of funds to affect the A-share market.
Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.A-shares have gone out of the upward trend today, but the heat of the market has not improved, and the wait-and-see mood is relatively strong. Then why should the main force continue to pull up the market index, whether to start the second wave of market, or to change the size, or to pull up and attract more? On these three questions, I said my own point of view.First, this is mainly reflected in the current situation of A-shares themselves: it is inseparable from the positive, and the hype foundation of A-shares in the past three years is being weakened.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14